
<table style="text-align:center"><caption><strong>Table X13. Additional results: group/dyad grid cell-level specifications.</strong></caption>
<tr><td colspan="5" style="border-bottom: 1px solid black"></td></tr><tr><td style="text-align:left"></td><td colspan="2">Civil violence (group)</td><td>Communal violence</td><td>Communal violence</td></tr>
<tr><td style="text-align:left"></td><td>Maj. (model A38)</td><td>Min. (model A39)</td><td>Maj./min. dyad (model A40)</td><td>Maj./min. dyad (model A41)</td></tr>
<tr><td colspan="5" style="border-bottom: 1px solid black"></td></tr><tr><td style="text-align:left">Territorial autonomy</td><td>-0.715</td><td>-1.218<sup>†</sup></td><td>1.061</td><td>-0.029</td></tr>
<tr><td style="text-align:left"></td><td>(0.819)</td><td>(0.719)</td><td>(0.849)</td><td>(0.858)</td></tr>
<tr><td style="text-align:left">Territorial autonomy x included/excluded</td><td></td><td></td><td></td><td>2.597<sup>***</sup></td></tr>
<tr><td style="text-align:left"></td><td></td><td></td><td></td><td>(0.701)</td></tr>
<tr><td style="text-align:left">Included</td><td>-1.244<sup>**</sup></td><td>-0.957</td><td></td><td></td></tr>
<tr><td style="text-align:left"></td><td>(0.389)</td><td>(0.777)</td><td></td><td></td></tr>
<tr><td style="text-align:left">Included/excluded</td><td></td><td></td><td>0.185</td><td>-0.677</td></tr>
<tr><td style="text-align:left"></td><td></td><td></td><td>(0.653)</td><td>(0.450)</td></tr>
<tr><td style="text-align:left">Excluded/excluded</td><td></td><td></td><td>0.798</td><td>0.784</td></tr>
<tr><td style="text-align:left"></td><td></td><td></td><td>(0.702)</td><td>(0.641)</td></tr>
<tr><td style="text-align:left">Relative size (state)</td><td>-1.397</td><td>1.733</td><td></td><td></td></tr>
<tr><td style="text-align:left"></td><td>(1.167)</td><td>(1.389)</td><td></td><td></td></tr>
<tr><td style="text-align:left">Relative size (state, mean)</td><td></td><td></td><td>1.056</td><td>0.987</td></tr>
<tr><td style="text-align:left"></td><td></td><td></td><td>(2.050)</td><td>(2.044)</td></tr>
<tr><td style="text-align:left">Relative size (state, diff.)</td><td></td><td></td><td>-0.099</td><td>-0.270</td></tr>
<tr><td style="text-align:left"></td><td></td><td></td><td>(1.137)</td><td>(1.202)</td></tr>
<tr><td style="text-align:left">Asymmetry</td><td></td><td></td><td>0.480</td><td>0.486</td></tr>
<tr><td style="text-align:left"></td><td></td><td></td><td>(0.432)</td><td>(0.418)</td></tr>
<tr><td style="text-align:left">GDP pc. (logged)</td><td>-0.337<sup>*</sup></td><td>-0.838<sup>***</sup></td><td>-0.362</td><td>-0.288</td></tr>
<tr><td style="text-align:left"></td><td>(0.159)</td><td>(0.220)</td><td>(0.225)</td><td>(0.232)</td></tr>
<tr><td style="text-align:left">Population (state, logged)</td><td>-0.195</td><td>-0.257</td><td>-0.342<sup>†</sup></td><td>-0.331<sup>†</sup></td></tr>
<tr><td style="text-align:left"></td><td>(0.124)</td><td>(0.164)</td><td>(0.176)</td><td>(0.172)</td></tr>
<tr><td style="text-align:left">Democracy</td><td>0.034</td><td>-0.767</td><td>-0.773</td><td>-0.692</td></tr>
<tr><td style="text-align:left"></td><td>(0.744)</td><td>(0.688)</td><td>(0.702)</td><td>(0.701)</td></tr>
<tr><td style="text-align:left">Ethnic fractionalization</td><td>0.293</td><td>1.085</td><td>1.929</td><td>1.977</td></tr>
<tr><td style="text-align:left"></td><td>(1.193)</td><td>(1.051)</td><td>(1.516)</td><td>(1.467)</td></tr>
<tr><td style="text-align:left">Election year</td><td>-0.602<sup>†</sup></td><td>0.081</td><td>0.512<sup>†</sup></td><td>0.561<sup>†</sup></td></tr>
<tr><td style="text-align:left"></td><td>(0.320)</td><td>(0.360)</td><td>(0.306)</td><td>(0.298)</td></tr>
<tr><td style="text-align:left">Relative size (grid cell)</td><td>0.388</td><td>0.886<sup>†</sup></td><td></td><td></td></tr>
<tr><td style="text-align:left"></td><td>(0.257)</td><td>(0.503)</td><td></td><td></td></tr>
<tr><td style="text-align:left">Relative size (grid cell, mean)</td><td></td><td></td><td>1.692</td><td>1.634</td></tr>
<tr><td style="text-align:left"></td><td></td><td></td><td>(1.132)</td><td>(1.119)</td></tr>
<tr><td style="text-align:left">Relative size (grid cell, diff.)</td><td></td><td></td><td>-0.497</td><td>-0.465</td></tr>
<tr><td style="text-align:left"></td><td></td><td></td><td>(0.425)</td><td>(0.426)</td></tr>
<tr><td style="text-align:left">Population (grid cell, logged)</td><td>0.449<sup>***</sup></td><td>0.561<sup>***</sup></td><td>0.493<sup>***</sup></td><td>0.499<sup>***</sup></td></tr>
<tr><td style="text-align:left"></td><td>(0.055)</td><td>(0.080)</td><td>(0.104)</td><td>(0.101)</td></tr>
<tr><td style="text-align:left">Area (grid cell, logged)</td><td>0.194</td><td>0.065</td><td>0.514<sup>**</sup></td><td>0.509<sup>**</sup></td></tr>
<tr><td style="text-align:left"></td><td>(0.136)</td><td>(0.109)</td><td>(0.163)</td><td>(0.162)</td></tr>
<tr><td style="text-align:left">Avg. ruggedness (grid cell)</td><td>0.001<sup>*</sup></td><td>0.001<sup>†</sup></td><td>0.001</td><td>0.001</td></tr>
<tr><td style="text-align:left"></td><td>(0.0005)</td><td>(0.0005)</td><td>(0.001)</td><td>(0.001)</td></tr>
<tr><td style="text-align:left">Oil in grid cell</td><td>0.855<sup>***</sup></td><td>0.260</td><td>0.577</td><td>0.561</td></tr>
<tr><td style="text-align:left"></td><td>(0.250)</td><td>(0.347)</td><td>(0.422)</td><td>(0.411)</td></tr>
<tr><td style="text-align:left">Distance capital (grid cell, logged)</td><td>-0.075</td><td>0.293<sup>**</sup></td><td>0.206</td><td>0.187</td></tr>
<tr><td style="text-align:left"></td><td>(0.129)</td><td>(0.112)</td><td>(0.147)</td><td>(0.150)</td></tr>
<tr><td style="text-align:left">Distance border (grid cell, logged)</td><td>-0.216<sup>***</sup></td><td>-0.112<sup>†</sup></td><td>-0.068</td><td>-0.064</td></tr>
<tr><td style="text-align:left"></td><td>(0.052)</td><td>(0.063)</td><td>(0.070)</td><td>(0.071)</td></tr>
<tr><td style="text-align:left">Civil violence peace years</td><td>-0.820<sup>***</sup></td><td>-0.729<sup>***</sup></td><td></td><td></td></tr>
<tr><td style="text-align:left"></td><td>(0.143)</td><td>(0.152)</td><td></td><td></td></tr>
<tr><td style="text-align:left">Civil violence peace years 2</td><td>0.054<sup>***</sup></td><td>0.042<sup>**</sup></td><td></td><td></td></tr>
<tr><td style="text-align:left"></td><td>(0.013)</td><td>(0.016)</td><td></td><td></td></tr>
<tr><td style="text-align:left">Civil violence peace years 3</td><td>-0.001<sup>***</sup></td><td>-0.001<sup>†</sup></td><td></td><td></td></tr>
<tr><td style="text-align:left"></td><td>(0.0003)</td><td>(0.0004)</td><td></td><td></td></tr>
<tr><td style="text-align:left">Civil violence spatial lag</td><td>0.713<sup>†</sup></td><td>1.397<sup>***</sup></td><td></td><td></td></tr>
<tr><td style="text-align:left"></td><td>(0.366)</td><td>(0.403)</td><td></td><td></td></tr>
<tr><td style="text-align:left">Communal violence peace years</td><td></td><td></td><td>-0.494<sup>***</sup></td><td>-0.527<sup>***</sup></td></tr>
<tr><td style="text-align:left"></td><td></td><td></td><td>(0.106)</td><td>(0.111)</td></tr>
<tr><td style="text-align:left">Communal violence peace years 2</td><td></td><td></td><td>0.026<sup>**</sup></td><td>0.030<sup>**</sup></td></tr>
<tr><td style="text-align:left"></td><td></td><td></td><td>(0.010)</td><td>(0.010)</td></tr>
<tr><td style="text-align:left">Communal violence peace years 3</td><td></td><td></td><td>-0.0005<sup>†</sup></td><td>-0.001<sup>*</sup></td></tr>
<tr><td style="text-align:left"></td><td></td><td></td><td>(0.0003)</td><td>(0.0003)</td></tr>
<tr><td style="text-align:left">Communal violence spatial lag</td><td></td><td></td><td>1.355<sup>***</sup></td><td>1.349<sup>***</sup></td></tr>
<tr><td style="text-align:left"></td><td></td><td></td><td>(0.408)</td><td>(0.410)</td></tr>
<tr><td style="text-align:left">Constant</td><td>-0.583</td><td>1.214</td><td>-23.495<sup>***</sup></td><td>-24.229<sup>***</sup></td></tr>
<tr><td style="text-align:left"></td><td>(2.168)</td><td>(2.503)</td><td>(3.105)</td><td>(3.233)</td></tr>
<tr><td style="text-align:left">N</td><td>477,593</td><td>2,334,555</td><td>2,783,723</td><td>2,783,723</td></tr>
<tr><td style="text-align:left">Log Likelihood</td><td>-3,071.173</td><td>-3,030.594</td><td>-3,129.957</td><td>-3,101.376</td></tr>
<tr><td style="text-align:left">AIC</td><td>6,252.346</td><td>6,171.188</td><td>6,377.914</td><td>6,322.752</td></tr>
<tr><td colspan="5" style="border-bottom: 1px solid black"></td></tr><tr><td colspan="5" style="text-align:left">† p<0.1; * p<0.05; ** p<0.01; *** p<0.001; country-clustered SE’s in parentheses; maj. = second-order majority; min. = second-order minority.</td></tr>
<tr><td colspan="5" style="text-align:left">The dependent variable is a binary variable equal to one if there is at least one instance of civil/communal violence involving a group/dyad in a given grid cell.</td></tr>
<tr><td colspan="5" style="text-align:left">Region- and year-fixed effects included but not reported.</td></tr>
</table>
